31 january 2020 year
Prospects for an Inter-Korean Settlement in the Context of Events in the Middle East

January 30, the scheduled meeting of the expert round table Situational analysis on the Korean Peninsula. Prospects for Inter-Korean Settlement - 2020 took place at the Nevelskoy MSU. Representatives of the Nevelskoy MSU, FEFU, FEB RAS and the business community took part in it. Such situational analyzes have been conducted at the Maritime University since 2003. Unlike previous events, this time it was not the DPRK that served as a newsmaker. Although 2019 did not meet the high hopes for an inter-Korean settlement, in general, the past year was calm, without any sharp or provocative events. True, dialogue between the US and North Korea has been suspended; North Korea announced the end of a voluntary moratorium on nuclear missile tests and promised to demonstrate some new strategic weapons. But Pyongyang never showed any “superweapon”, and US President Trump continues to talk about the presence of “chemistry” in his personal relations with the head of the DPRK, Kim Jong-un. The events in the Middle East developed much more rapidly. ran and the United States exchanged provocations in Iraq. Iran has withdrawn its obligations under the so-called “nuclear deal”. Despite the fact that Iran and the DPRK are in different regions of the planet, they are connected by a lot: the policy of sanctions and pressure from the United States, long-standing cooperation, including in rather sensitive areas, such as rocket science. Finally, both states are important for Russia in terms of security. The mutual influence that Iran and the DPRK can have on each other, taking into account recent events, became the main topic of discussion of experts during the scheduled meeting of the situation analysis. The DPRK example also shows countries such as Iran that it is possible to negotiate while improving their nuclear capabilities. The experts agreed that the situation on the Korean Peninsula will be stable before the November presidential election in the United States, Iran will not speed up the creation of nuclear weapons in the foreseeable future, and the DPRK will refrain from nuclear tests. Thus, Russia has a chance to implement projects with North Korea that are not affected by the sanctions. For example, the construction of an automobile bridge over the Tumannaya River (Tumangan).

Nevelskoy MSU Info Center

31 january 2020 year